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Original title: 12.27 early comment on whether the oil price will rush up today and the proposal for the operation of crude oil and silver
Live fish will go up against the current, dead fish will follow the tide, this is the best praise for the fish, and the trade is always the profiter's trend, the loser moves against the trend, this is the most beautiful advice on investment. Either become a mount or become a rider. This is a game of shearing wool, just to see how you position yourself.
Regardless of OPEC's production cuts, the US oil reserve market has been finalized. The US Department of Energy is expected to start putting about 8 million barrels of low-sulfur oil strategic reserves into the market from early to mid-January next year. Meanwhile, although oil prices have risen, OPEC has sent a lot of bad news last week. On December 20, Libya announced the reactivation of the country's two largest oil fields, which the market expects will generate 270,000 barrels per day for Libya in the next three months. OPEC's production reduction agreement exempted Libya, so the reopening of the Libyan oil field means that the scale of production reduction has been offset by a considerable part; in addition, Saudi Arabia announced last week that it will cut fuel subsidies, which will cause the domestic demand for crude oil in Saudi Arabia to fall, I believe this will Let the part used for export increase.
However, the good news is also more optimistic. According to Bloomberg, Iraq’s oil-rich province of Kirkuk said that the province is willing to cooperate as long as the rest of Iraq is also in line with the scale reduction; Ye Ruiming believes that because most of its current production is operated by international companies, production The cuts will be mainly from the central regions controlled by the state, not the south. Under the repeated impact of the news, the market may gradually numb similar news. In the longer term, US President Barack Obama announced a total ban on new offshore oil and gas development in the US Atlantic and Arctic Ocean territorial waters, and pulled Canada in. Although Trump will almost certainly seek to abolish this decree after he entered the White House, the slap of legal reasons will delay it for many years.
The author comprehensive analysis believes that OPEC and non-OPEC oil-producing countries have reached a frozen production agreement, but the market share and the number of production reductions have not been well balanced, which has laid a deep hidden danger for the implementation of the frozen production agreement; The recent opening of oil wells in the United States has increased, and the increase in the number of shale oil mining has eroded the market that other oil-producing countries have reduced. Therefore, Ye Ruiming believes that it is difficult for oil prices to come out in a big round of recent explosions, at least Before OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers announce the exact amount of production cuts, oil prices will remain volatile within the existing region. Author WeChat: bmw9546
Technical analysis of spot crude oil
From the daily line, crude oil recorded three consecutive negative lines, and prices fell from high levels. The main reason was that the market expressed doubts about the reduction of production commitments by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia, and disrupted the rhythm of oil prices. However, the market seems to have been doomed. The line receives the lower line of Xiaoyang, and the other moving averages are arranged in a long position. The MACD double line is high to form a golden fork, the red column is shrinking, the stochastic indicator maintains the hook sign, and the daily line looks at the shock recovery; from the four-hour chart Affected by EIA data, the oil price plunged to 52.5 US dollars at a high level of 53.6 US dollars. The k-line crossed the short-term 5 and 10 day moving averages, and received a large negative column and a low sideways. After a high shock, the short pressure was digested. Ye Ruiming Wesin YR-MAN from the indicators point of view, the K line runs in the lower part of the Bollinger Band, KDj indicators are in oversold and there are signs of turning heads up. On the whole, the oil price may be biased to the shock repair, and it is recommended to keep the interval as the main operation. Author WeChat: bmw9546
Spot crude oil operation recommendations:
1, 52.8 US dollars more than a single entry, the target near 53.8 US dollars, stop loss 52.5 US dollars;
2, 54.3 US dollars light warehouse empty order, target near 53.6 US dollars, stop loss 54.5 US dollars;
White Bank Analysis:
After the bottom of the silver, the overall maintenance of the bottom shock consolidation, after rising to 16.15 on Friday, the market fell again, the current market gold and silver rebound is weak, short-term break below 15.50 is not the time, it is expected that the recent silver price will remain volatile The downward trend, the last Fed rate hike has intensified the downside risk of silver prices. Currently, the support is lower at $15.76. If the new low is expected to be around $5.55, the overall performance of the weekly silver price is weak. .
On the weekly chart, the price has once again recorded a solid female column after two weeks of yin, and the upper part is suppressed by the 5/10-day moving average. The overall trend is viewed as a weak downward trend; the MACD on the indicator shows a downward trend. The author believes that silver is a bearish market from the technical and news side, and the silver market is still rebounding short. In operation, it is recommended that the rebound be short-selling, and the short-term focus should be on the range of 15.8-16.3. In this interval, the high-altitude is mainly low. The previous low point of 15.6 is the support, and the high-altitude is the main one. Specific instructions suggest to add the author.
Crude oil empty singles strategy
Crude oil fell off the US dollar on Friday, it is inevitable that some people have an empty order above $52.3, plus the crude oil drilling data is not bad, but some people have an empty order near $53. For the small position, Ye Ruiming suggested Tuesday. Opening down 52.8-52.6 small losses out of the game, for the big position of the position is expected to open higher this week, and then high, then we can make up the average price at the high point, waiting for the fall, if the drop is strong enough, you can If the decline is not strong, then you can first make the profit of the position, then lock the operation, earn the range profit, operate a few waves back and forth, reduce the loss to the least, as to whether the perfect solution is needed According to the actual market, because you don't know the specific point of your order, you can't give your specific solution strategy. If you have the author's article, please find the author's strategy. The set is not terrible, the terrible thing is that the wrong operation after the set of orders, resulting in more and more serious losses. Author WeChat: bmw9546
The seven universal solutions:
1. Take the method of not selling and not paying for change. After the list is locked, as long as it has not been taken off, you cannot be considered to have lost money.
2, the operation of the dialing mode. First stop the knot, and then at the lower price, then make up, to reduce or flatten the loss of the upper gear.
3. Stopping the knot with a quick knife and a mess. The sale of the target will be sold in full, so as to avoid further losses due to the continued decline in silver prices. This strategy is mainly suitable for short-term investors with speculation. In the short market of the downtrend, the longer the short-term investors hold, the greater the losses will be brought to investors.
4, take the downward leveling operation method, that is, as the price declines, but increase the code to buy, thereby reducing the average cost, waiting for the price to rise and profit. But to take this approach, we must confirm that the overall investment environment has not deteriorated. The market does not have a premise that the market is transferred from the long market to the short market. Otherwise, it will easily fall into more and more dilemmas.
5. Investors who are lightly stuck can use the rebound market to solve the problem, or ralli-lower;
6. Investors with high positions can also make a part of the rallies to reduce their positions, so that they can take the initiative in the next wave of the market.
7. If the price you are buying is in a downward trend, once you confirm that the downtrend has been formed, you should stop the loss immediately, and you must not suffer from the illusion of any loss. Any hesitation and hesitation may change the depth of the lock.
Author WeChat: bmw9546
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