Yuming: The two market hot spots have risen
At present, the market is in a relatively delicate stage. From the index point of view, it has obviously reached the high level in the year, and this area is a set-up chip area formed after many unsuccessful impacts. However, from the perspective of individual stocks, since most of the stocks have not increased their focus, Still below, such a stock and the index deviate from the index, and the index rushes to the stagflation, and the index dives with the stocks, so the desire for capital chasing at this stage is drastically reduced. Yuming believes that as the index enters the high-level zone of 3250-3300 points, the adjustment pressure of the market is self-evident, although the large-cap stocks can achieve a partial high and a new high, but the duration is short, and soon There was a diving in the pan. At the same time, we have seen that the GEM has repeatedly risen this week and become a strong index, which is actually caused by the switch of strengths and weaknesses in the market.
From the recent disk, some stocks have been adjusted with the index shock, and even new lows, but a considerable number of stocks have rebounded against the trend, apparently oversold or the main force of rebound. Yuming believes that from a technical point of view, the performance of the weekly Liulianyang is definitely a strong one, but the focus of individual stocks has not followed, the technical indicators have not been fully repaired, and the phenomenon of top divergence still exists, that is to say, the future index has adjustment pressure to be digested. Especially in the absence of a large amount of incremental funds to enter the market, the unilateral rise in the market is obviously not realistic, the shock is still the main tone. Today, Weibo subscribed to the article "The price increase stock market is comprehensively combed, looking for the neglected opportunity (with stocks)" to analyze, as the market rushed, grasping the difficulty is getting bigger and bigger; the recent large-cap white stocks, want to fall Up; and the GEM, wants to rise and fall. Among them, the trend is the strongest, that is, the price increase stocks continue to strengthen, after all, relying on the strength of the fundamentals, rebounding is very embold; because of the variety, all kinds of ideas have opportunities, the key is to do a good job of homework and research, Stick to value.
There have been many changes in the market this week. The SSE 50 is going to fall and rise, and the GEM is going up and down. The hotspots of the hotspots are more obvious, so everyone is more concerned about the changes in the future market hotspots. Tamana that the hot spots are mainly two: there is a clear way of Hengqiang, such as on-line with Tesla Motors M3, the new energy automotive sector revival, Gan Feng Li industry 002,460, stocks and other Changyang attending a new high; Fangda carbon is even more powerful, and has become a recent monster; in addition, there are 600,779 Shuijingfang, clinic, led by shares of liquor stocks have strong performance; including Shanxi coking 600,740, attending stocks continue to lead the "Marie bifocal" in The price increase stocks are active. There is all the way to 300,168 Wanda information, consultation, led by shares of GEM stocks a significant oversold bounce, mainly due to the Soviet Union to pay 300,284 families, attending shares, 300,418 Kunlun World Wide Web, diagnostic intervention stocks to be the national team's gold card After that, it triggered a renewed focus on the GEM stocks. In terms of strategy, it is not suitable for the first category to chase up, only to give the sprint profits of the previous low ambush chips, and the second category to pay attention to some in the near future. Bargain hunting, oversold rebound opportunities.
Stock Sea Lighthouse: the higher the previous high point, the higher the throw
On the weekend, the market news was flat. "The CSRC has issued IPO approvals for 9 companies, and the total amount of funds raised is less than 4.3 billion yuan." The news shows that the pace of new share issuance still has no signs of slowing down, which will curb the market's long-term sentiment. The trend of US stocks' ups and downs is neutral to the A-share market. From the analysis of technical indicators alone, the MACD indicator line on the weekly chart of the Shanghai stock market and the KDJ indicator line are in a golden cross state, showing the rebound of the corresponding level and the upper impulsive kinetic energy; the daily line Bollinger with the track line (3268 points) is inclined upwards. The stock index constitutes traction; however, the MACD indicator on the 60-minute chart shows a top divergence phenomenon, indicating that the market is again pulling up and facing the corresponding level of fallback adjustment; on the 15-minute chart, the KDJ indicator line runs to a high level, and a signal for the fallback is issued in advance.
Today, the broader market will step back on the 5-day moving average, pull up and break through the high point of the previous trading day, and then, slightly fall back. Therefore, it is believed that the large-cap stocks point to the upper rebound from the previous high point (3295.19 points). The closer the distance is, the shorter the line will be. If the stock index does not break through the previous high, the 21-day moving average can be lowered.
Desert Eagle: The main board turbulence does not change
With the last full trading week in July coming to an end, this month's market is coming to an end after today's trading. On the 28th, the Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and oscillated in a narrow range. It closed the weekly “6 Lianyangâ€, and the GEM failed to continue the strong trend of the previous day, pouring cold water for the previous “style switchingâ€. The market is still led by resource stocks. Although the GEM has rebounded once, there is still some distance from the bottom of the relative valuation. Even if there is a market, it is more a structural concept of partial concept. It is recommended that investors still have to look at each Top quality stocks in the industry, focusing on leading stocks in the cycle and consumer sectors.
Last week's review: After the two cities opened lower on Friday, the previously strong GEM started to oscillate and adjust. Although the Shanghai index once turned upside down, the amount of energy was insufficient and the rebound was difficult to sustain. In the afternoon, resource stocks rose, driving the Shanghai index to turn red. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.11%, Shenzhen Securities Index rose 0.41%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.47%. On the disk, rare earth permanent magnets, graphene, special steel, coal and other sectors were among the top gainers, with ships, information security and software services leading the decline. The two cities had a total turnover of 459 billion yuan on that day, and the transaction volume shrank slightly from the previous trading day. Currently Social Security Fund has begun to seek opportunities for GEM oversold, stocks SKTB 300601, stocks were attending the social security fund substantial Opening; moreover raised, insurance, trust and other products began to layout, settled Kangtai Biological, 300,184 power source information, consultation shares, China policy film 300133, stocks and other clinics.
Technical analysis: The market is in a stage of upcoming changes, including the SSE 50, and it will not be too long in the second half of the year. If it is fast, maybe two weeks, if it is slow, it may change in August, and the SSE 50 index may be slightly late, and it may appear in October to November, but if it is later than this time, the possibility is not big. Hot spots in the market should continue to rise and fall, unless there is a major adjustment, otherwise the phenomenon of hot-spot rotation will continue. From the point of view of volume, there was no certain amplification last week, but the funds have changed in the direction of investment. Specifically reflected in the changes in the trend of the main board and the SSE 50, in one horizontal and one tone, the difference in performance between the two major indexes is the result of the funds turning to the second-line blue chip. In terms of technical indicators, the motherboard still has obvious technical defects, which is another reason why the market may fluctuate in the later stage. It is worth noting that the GEM, which once thought that a positive line could change its beliefs, reappeared on the Friday after a sharp pull on Thursday, which caused investors to oversell the GEM. There is another suspicion. Comprehensive analysis: Since last week, a number of brokerages have successively adjusted the operational details of the equity pledge business, lowered the pledge rate and raised the pledge interest rate, which has become a common measure for the recent securities companies to prevent the risk of equity pledge business. In fact, in the current "performance"-oriented market advocated by the management, in addition to individual stocks, the overall performance of the GEM is not worrying. At present, the 657 listed companies on the GEM have all disclosed the 2017 interim results announcement. From the statistics of the data, the growth rate of the net profit of the GEM in the first half of the year was only 7%, and the growth rate of net profit of 11.2% in the first quarter of this year has dropped significantly. After a round of plunge, the overall valuation of the current GEM tends to be at the bottom of history. Many stocks have also hit record lows. The debate on bottom-hunting and cautious bargain-hunting has not stopped. Buying or continuing to wait and see is a dilemma.
Investment suggestion: Although the national team's bargain-hunting initiative has given many investors hope, it is worth noting that other institutions, including the fund, do not agree with this, and they are also very different in operation from the national team. It is expected that in the next stage, the growth of the GEM stocks will be stabilized and the stocks will be divided. The GEM index will continue to rise in the short-term. For the current market, it is best for the steady investors to hold the currency.
Hot prospects: After more than two years of adjustment, the adjustment of the ChiNext is generally close to 60%. In the short-term, there may be certain opportunities, but it is also not suitable for heavy or high. In terms of specific sectors, if it is a radical investor, it can pay attention to the artificial intelligence sector in short-term light warehouses and dips; MSCI concepts, mineral products, two barrels of oil and bank insurance brokers may have staged market conditions. In addition, in the recent intensive disclosure of the China Daily, investors can pay attention to the structural opportunities for the relevant varieties of the over-reported, over-received institutional investors, and the controlling shareholders.
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